Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 520.191609 553.128185 587.350664 625.623998 667.305442 711.401952 761.684502
2026-01-18 475.332358 520.343158 568.972434 625.626199 690.080231 761.438029 846.844914
2026-01-25 449.322229 502.013904 560.536283 630.753314 713.241260 807.722456 925.071865
2026-02-01 429.851115 488.325508 554.761052 636.450997 735.050828 851.326494 1000.487228
2026-02-08 414.600843 477.810422 551.052146 643.067737 756.831713 894.552876 1076.513889
2026-02-15 398.757431 465.251600 543.617980 643.933797 770.613573 927.596391 1140.612100
2026-02-22 384.726717 453.864043 536.598802 644.322480 783.021311 958.658298 1203.022495
2026-03-01 373.573617 445.254923 532.265426 647.384186 798.360676 993.556321 1271.809450
2026-03-08 361.601398 434.943336 525.110801 646.137933 807.540284 1020.224048 1330.309533
2026-03-15 351.591970 426.573224 519.876298 646.847459 818.924198 1049.901525 1394.181537
2026-03-22 341.987651 418.250860 514.219167 646.507315 828.526464 1077.171402 1455.723913
2026-03-29 333.247937 410.645850 509.080354 646.438397 838.196779 1104.620736 1518.716819
2026-04-05 326.454961 405.330343 506.720543 649.967197 852.928621 1139.871102 1595.540387
2026-04-12 318.802282 398.566528 502.104289 650.060401 862.584921 1167.965549 1662.823228
2026-04-19 313.633301 394.884100 501.414034 655.448319 879.877989 1207.901546 1750.958278
2026-04-26 309.010513 391.734254 501.256268 661.447482 898.139018 1249.967673 1845.055782
2026-05-03 305.002211 389.244605 501.845435 668.414400 917.968761 1295.218774 1947.259852
2026-05-10 299.156738 384.024185 498.413533 669.326408 928.562733 1326.396860 2027.581894
2026-05-17 293.458834 378.815863 494.788405 669.735714 938.265679 1356.440305 2107.737218
2026-05-24 288.964005 375.130442 493.158644 672.960030 952.334606 1394.040277 2203.661375
2026-05-31 283.260723 369.571497 488.652677 671.647555 959.112166 1419.857285 2279.891613
2026-06-07 278.461985 365.147238 485.618669 672.394778 969.089152 1451.334559 2368.618008
2026-06-14 273.549912 360.418754 481.979863 672.036560 977.175139 1479.868560 2453.673642